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China and Kuwait Assure Pakistan of $4.3 Billion Loan Rollovers as $21.5 Billion Debt Bill Looms

Pakistan has secured assurances from China and Kuwait to roll over loans worth $4.3 billion, giving the country breathing room as it faces one of the heaviest external debt bills in its history. The assurances were reported on Wednesday, 5 November, by sources in the Finance Ministry, and they arrive at a moment when every dollar of foreign exchange matters.

China will roll over $4 billion in loans, while Kuwait will extend a further $300 million. The two assurances together take the total value of bilateral loan rollovers Pakistan expects this fiscal year to $7.3 billion, once Saudi Arabia’s $3 billion rollover is counted. For a country staring at $21.5 billion in external payments, the extensions are not a solution — but they are a significant relief.

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The $7.3 billion picture

State Bank of Pakistan building — representative photo
File photo

The latest assurances complete a three-country package. Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb confirmed on Wednesday that Saudi Arabia had agreed to roll over its $3 billion loan, and Finance Ministry sources said China and Kuwait had now followed with their own commitments. The Chinese loan of $4 billion comes up for rollover in March 2027, and the loans from all three countries are expected to be extended for around one year each.

The structure of the support matters. Saudi Arabia has placed $8 billion in deposits with Pakistan in total, of which $5 billion was rolled over for the medium term until 2028, while the remaining $3 billion has been given what is understood to be a one-year rollover for the current fiscal year. China’s $4 billion is held as SAFE deposits, a form of central bank placement that has become a regular feature of Pakistan’s external financing.

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Officials are careful to describe the arrangements as assurances rather than completed transactions. The rollovers still have to be formalised, and the Chinese extension only falls due in March next year. But the direction of travel is now clear: Pakistan’s three largest bilateral creditors have all signalled they will keep their money in place for another year.

A $21.5 billion bill this fiscal year

Pakistani rupee — file photo
File photo

The scale of what Pakistan owes explains why the rollovers matter so much. Federal Finance Secretary Imdad Ullah Bosal told the Senate Standing Committee on Finance on Wednesday that the country’s gross external financing repayments stand at $21.5 billion for fiscal year 2026-27, including $17 billion in principal and $4 billion in interest payments.

Strip out the $7.3 billion in expected rollovers and about $14 billion still has to be found, including $3.2 billion in commercial refinancing. The government has already repaid $5 billion in the first five months of the fiscal year. The arithmetic is unforgiving: without the rollovers, the remaining bill would be far harder to meet from reserves and fresh borrowing alone.

That is why the assurances were welcomed in Islamabad even though they change nothing about the underlying debt. A rollover does not reduce what Pakistan owes by a single dollar. It simply moves the repayment date, buying time for exports, remittances and the IMF programme to do the heavier work of rebuilding reserves.

Washington said no — and the Eurobond answer

Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb — file photo
File photo

The rollovers also land against a difficult backdrop in Washington. The United States declined Pakistan’s request for a $10 billion Liquidity Support Program, a setback that had raised questions about how the external financing gap would be closed. Aurangzeb, speaking after the Senate committee meeting on Wednesday, told Reuters that Pakistan had instead secured $3 billion through the launch of a Eurobond and was in a “comfortable position” on its external accounts.

The minister also confirmed that Pakistan expects to receive $1.21 billion from the International Monetary Fund in December, the next scheduled inflow under the IMF programme. Between the rollovers, the Eurobond and the IMF tranche, officials argue the financing plan for the year is now largely in place — though economists note that much of it depends on promises being kept and markets staying open.

The contrast with the American refusal is striking. Where Washington turned down a new facility, Beijing, Riyadh and Kuwait City have all agreed to extend existing support. For Islamabad, the message is that its traditional bilateral partners remain willing to carry the load, even as newer sources of financing prove harder to secure.

What comes next

IMF programme — file photo
File photo

The immediate test is December, when the $1.21 billion IMF inflow is expected. The next milestone after that is March 2027, when the $4 billion Chinese loan formally comes up for rollover and the assurance given this week has to be turned into a signed extension. Until then, the $4.3 billion remains a commitment, not a completed deal.

Beyond the calendar, the deeper question is unchanged. Rollovers buy time, but they do not fix the structural problem: Pakistan borrows heavily each year to repay what it borrowed the year before. The government points to falling public debt — down from 75.1 percent of GDP in fiscal year 2023 to 68.6 percent in fiscal year 2026 — as evidence the direction is right. Whether the breathing room bought by China, Kuwait and Saudi Arabia is used to build exports and widen the tax base will decide if next year’s rollover conversation is easier, or exactly the same.

UrduPro Business Desk
Written by UrduPro Business Desk
The UrduPro Business Desk covers business, the economy and daily prices. Figures are checked against official notifications and reviewed by our editorial team before publication. To send a correction or a tip, please use the Contact page.
UrduPro Business Desk
UrduPro Business Desk
UrduPro Correspondent

The UrduPro Business Desk covers business, the economy and daily prices. Figures are checked against official notifications and reviewed by our editorial team before publication. To send a correction or a tip, please use the Contact page.

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